Get an analysis of important drivers of global fixed income markets, including macroeconomic trends, interest rates, currencies, and credit, in our monthly global strategy report.
In this edition:
Macro strategy
As Europe faces another energy shock, we lay out the consequences for growth, inflation, policy, and markets.
Credit strategy
Higher energy prices support European energy and utility issues in the short term, but a prolonged conflict in the Middle East raises risks.
Interest rate outlook
We see value in European short-term rates but are neutral on longer-term European rates amid a more mixed outlook. We’re neutral on UK rates.
Currency outlook
We’ve downgraded to neutral on the euro because of the eurozone’s vulnerability to energy market disruptions. We’re underweight the British pound due to the trade shock from higher energy prices.
Bottom line: Navigating an energy shock
Q&A with investment grade portfolio managers Matt Brill and Todd Schomberg on navigating an energy shock and Federal Reserve uncertainty, and why the intermediate curve matters in 2026.