In our regularly updated macroeconomic analysis, we offer an outlook for interest rates and currencies – and look at which fixed income assets are favoured across a range of market environments.
In this edition:
The US administration may soon declare a national housing emergency. We examine the case for an emergency, potential government policy changes and market impact.
We highlight the rising number of corporate breakups in the US and what they mean for bondholders.
We are neutral on European rates. We believe the ECB has reached its neutral rate and we expect it to remain steady unless external shocks require further action. We are overweight UK rates and believe there is little room for short-term rates to move higher unless inflation rises sharply. Longer-term rates hinge on the budget outcome.
We are overweight the euro on expectations of continued US dollar weakness and positive 2026 European economic performance. We are underweight the British pound based on fiscal risks and potential longer-term rate declines in line with developed peers.
We speak with Senior EM Strategist Daniel Phillips about the US dollar’s recent weakening trend and why it might bode well for EM debt performance.
Private real estate debt offers insurers a way to diversify their portfolios, generate stable income streams, and match their long-term liabilities.
Experts from Invesco's bank loan, direct lending and distressed credit teams to share their views from the second quarter of 2025.
Mike Sobolik, Regional Investment Strategist, North America, shares insights into the dynamic nature of real estate cap rates, including the importance of taking a long-term view when making real estate investment decisions.
