A presidential candidate convicted on 34 charges. An assassination attempt that left a former president bloodied but defiant. And a sitting president who pulled out of his reelection race after a disastrous debate performance. Any one of these events could have easily been the defining moment of an election. But in 2024, all that — and more — happened in the span of just 52 days.
Voters, party leaders, and down-ballot candidates have had to quickly shift gears from a Trump-Biden rematch to a Trump-Harris showdown. What are polls telling us about the new shape of the race? We highlight some early data from the key battleground states, but as we’ve so clearly seen over the past several weeks, things can change in the blink of an eye.
Read our latest Washington Newsletter.
Stock market jitters and the case for a US soft landing
Fears about the US economy rippled through the markets last week as recent data fell short of expectations. But the case for a relatively soft landing remains strong.
How will the market react when the Fed cuts interest rates?
The market’s reaction when the Federal Reserve dropped interest rates after the 1994-1995 tightening cycle could be a guide going forward.
When doves yell: Fed loudly signals a September rate cut
Minutes from the July FOMC meeting were surprisingly dovish, and Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell suggested a likely policy shift in comments from Jackson Hole.
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Some references are US specific and may not apply to Canada.
The opinions referenced above are those of the author as of August 14, 2024. These comments should not be construed as recommendations, but as an illustration of broader themes. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results. They involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions; there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations.
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