Brian Levitt is Chief Global Market Strategist at Invesco. In this role, he leads a team of market strategists, investment strategists, and research professionals who provide timely and compelling insights and ideas for clients across North America, Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA), and Asia Pacific. He joined Invesco when the firm combined with OppenheimerFunds in 2019.
Iran war: What’s driving market sentiment?
Many assumed that if the Middle East conflict lasted more than a few weeks, it would be meaningfully negative for stocks. But markets appear to have absorbed the shock.
Indicators suggest the market likely hasn’t hit bottom yet
Major stock markets have corrected. But our preferred indicators suggest markets may still have work to do before a durable bottom is formed.
Discipline matters when markets are uncertain
Periods of uncertainty, like the current Middle East conflict, have the potential to produce sharp rebounds that investors may not want to miss.
Economic and market signals stay steady despite oil shocks
Our preferred economic and market indicators have become more challenged, but they aren’t flashing clear warning signs yet.
Keeping long-term perspective as the Iran conflict continues
It’s unknown how long the conflict will last, but oil and other commodity exposure may help hedge the risk of a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure.
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