
“We expect strong real and nominal economic growth in Europe and further afield over the next few years. This would be a marked change from the last decade.”
John Surplice, Head of European Equities
This fund invests in companies where we believe the opportunity for positive change has been overlooked and so undervalued by the market.
Why this fund?After over a decade of low growth and relative market underperformance, the opportunity in Europe is much more encouraging. This is in part because investors are starting to question whether the era of US exceptionalism may be coming to an end, meaning Europe looks much more attractive on a relative basis. But more interestingly than that, there are changes afoot in Europe itself which are driving a much-improved outlook: Lower interest rates and lower inflation; a stronger consumer with increased real wages and the savings available to spend; plus, of course, meaningful fiscal stimulus, not least the recently announced investment in infrastructure and defence in Germany.
We refer to our approach to invests in companies where we believe the opportunity for positive change has been overlooked and so undervalued by the market as Quality Transition. This differentiated approach results in portfolios which offer good long-term alpha with very low correlation to the main global indices and so good diversification, as well as a ‘Value’ output. It requires a combination of rigorous investment analysis, discipline, patience and regular direct engagement with the companies by the fund managers.
Of central importance to the investment process is correctly anticipating material positive changes for the underlying companies and the likelihood of those changes coming to fruition.
To be successful requires an in-depth understanding of company and industry fundamentals as well as being prepared to invest for the long term.
Engaging with companies is a critical component in understanding change. Collaboration and respectful challenge are key to how we engage as a team.
Access the Invesco European Equity Fund (UK) product page to view KIIDs and factsheets. The investment concerns the acquisition of units in an actively managed fund and not in a given underlying asset.
John Surplice and James Rutland manage the fund’s stock selection. John has more than 32 years’ experience, while James has more than 17. The investment team has extensive knowledge of local markets and a track record of identifying companies with attractive return potential.
“We expect strong real and nominal economic growth in Europe and further afield over the next few years. This would be a marked change from the last decade.”
John Surplice, Head of European Equities
We believe that the scene is being set for a stronger macroeconomic backdrop in Europe; yes, the overall picture is complicated and not helped by politics, but the underlying data is encouraging.
This outlook of macroeconomic improvement (admittedly from very low levels) would be a supportive backdrop for our Quality Transition approach, that is investing in companies that are able and willing to change for the better. Valuations are a key component of our investment process and there are many opportunities in the European equities space whose Quality Transition characteristics have been over-looked by the markets and so are attractively valued.
Positive change for a company is often closely aligned with and affected by market cycles and, given the improving outlook described above, the strategy is positioned for cyclical recovery in order to benefit. This is the opportunity for active investors in European equities.
We prefer a ‘quality transition’ (good companies to great companies) approach over a compounders (great companies that stay great) approach and over a macro approach (trying to time the market). This is because our analysis suggests that Quality Transition generates greater returns over the long-term.
We continuously analyse the European markets for valuations that we believe do not reflect the future prospects of the underlying companies. A key component of this research includes three-year IRR analysis for every portfolio holding and large index stock.
We have no preconceived style bias towards stocks, sectors or countries, rather we look for the best investments at any point in time.
In Q1 2025, Joe Dowling, Fund Manager of Invesco Global Equity Income Fund, discusses key market questions and their implications for the rest of the year.
In our recent European equities outlook, Georgina Millar and Oliver Collin discuss Europe's market turnaround, Germany's vote, and the improving economic outlook. Highlighting Invesco's active investing targets, specific themes, and the positive outlook for 2025.
John Surplice, Head of EMEA Equities and UK & European Equities Fund Manager, discusses the 2024 performance and 2025 projections for European equities in a detailed conversation with Product Director, Georgina Millar.
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