Head of EMEA Equities & Co-Head of European Equities John Surplice
MA (Honours) in Economics
Valuation-led strategy targeting compelling opportunities in European equities.
With an actively managed approach, the strategy aims to achieve capital growth by taking advantage of valuation anomalies through fundamental stock-picking, while carefully considering the macroeconomic context.
The strategy aims to achieve long-term (five years plus) capital growth. The strategy invests at least 80% of its assets in shares or other equity related securities of companies incorporated, domiciled or carrying out the main part of their economic activity in Europe, excluding the UK.
The European Equities team seek to take advantage of inefficiencies in the market and buy stocks below their intrinsic value. This is achieved through fundamental research, drawing on internal proprietary research, selective use of external research and extensive company contact. This approach places a strong emphasis on valuation, a key determinant of future returns. The investment team takes a long-term approach to investing, typically around a five-year investment time horizon, which enables it to take advantage of any valuation anomalies.
The team believes that market inefficiencies typically derive from three interlinked sources:
By not favouring any one particular investment style, the investment team can actively target the best mix of individual risk/reward opportunities in the market - at any point in time in whatever stock, sector or country they are to be found. This flexible approach aims to deliver consistent, positive performance under most market conditions.
The investment process comprises four key elements which deliver the information the fund managers need to make decisions when constructing the portfolio.
Idea generation
Using a flexible approach to sourcing ideas internally from within the team and Henley-based investment colleagues, together with external sources.
Fundamental research
Combining internal proprietary research with extensive company contact and external research providers. The majority of the team’s research is bottom-up stock specific, with a strong focus on valuation, incorporating its perception of the macro outlook.
Portfolio construction
Building a portfolio of companies that offers the best mix of stock specific opportunities at any point in time. As well as assessing the potential for upside for each stock, the associated risks are also considered – these factors and the impact of any changes on the shape of the portfolio will be important in determining the overall size of that holding.
Valuation monitoring
Continuously monitoring individual positions in the portfolio, with a focus on the key structural, cyclical and company specific drivers.
Assessing and monitoring risk
Applying a multi-faceted approach to risk management throughout the investment process to ensure that risks are fully understood and appropriate.
Our focus as active fund managers is on finding mispriced stocks. We are open to buying companies whose qualities and future potential are not properly reflected in their share prices. Equally, we look for companies whose willingness and efforts to change have yet to be recognised by the market. Correctly anticipating change for the good and the scope for market perceptions to catch up with reality can generate strong investment returns. The key is identifying the issues and focusing on the path to improvement.
The same principles apply to how we see ESG: many of its key aims and principles are well aligned with our long-term investment focus and engagement with the companies we own. Investment opportunities can arise from market dislocation related to ESG, as they can from other share price drivers.
Getting to the right answer involves more than just focusing on information provided by the ESG rating agencies. They provide some useful insights and information as to what the key ESG issues are and how they are viewed today. We will consider such research but the proprietary research and analysis we carry out, to try to anticipate how a company’s ESG strategy evolves in the future, will be more important to us.
Our overall investment process composes of five major components. We go through in detail how ESG is integrated in our process: download the full paper to learn more.
Read the team’s quarterly ESG engagement report
Valuation-led strategy
Investments are purely valuation-led, with the weight of each portfolio holding driven by its risk-reward profile, allied to the overall portfolio diversification. The strategy rests on rigorous fundamental analysis and company valuations, combined with close scrutiny of the prevailing macroeconomic environment and likely future trends, to identify what the team believe to be the best investment opportunities in Europe.
Experience and track record
Benefitting from the team’s extensive knowledge of local markets and companies in identifying attractive opportunities, the strategy has a solid, long-term track record (launched in 1986).
Active approach
With a typically high active share and no preconceived style bias, the team are agnostic with regards sector or country positioning. They seek to take advantage of valuation anomalies through bottom-up stock selection, while adapting the strategy according to the macro-market environment and risk-return assessment
Focus on European recovery
After years of depressed activity, the economic outlook in Europe remains robust. With valuations remaining attractive in the team’s view, the region is currently offering very interesting opportunities.
We summarise the key themes that should drive structural change and growth across Europe for many years to come: social inequality, climate change and digitalisation.
The strategy is managed by John Surplice, Head of European Equities and James Rutland, Fund Manager, two experienced investors in the European equities space.
In the management of the strategy, John and James are supported by the Henley Investment Centre’s CIO, Stephanie Butcher, and other members of the wider European Equities team that includes four European Equity fund managers.
The 2025 equities outlook is improving. Balance sheets look healthy, and many stocks are attractively valued, though geopolitical risks remain. Find out more.
Last month we hosted an exclusive equities webinar diving into some of our investment philosophies and processes. John Surplice, answers some of the most interesting questions raised on the day.
Andy Hall and Emily Roberts, fund managers, speak to Sid Shah, Product Director, to provide an update on how they are currently positioning the Invesco Global Equity Core Strategy.
The value of investments and any income will fluctuate (this may partly be the result of exchange rate fluctuations) and investors may not get back the full amount invested.
The strategy may use derivatives (complex instruments) in an attempt to reduce the overall risk of its investments, reduce the costs of investing and/or generate additional capital or income, although this may not be achieved. The use of such complex instruments may result in greater fluctuations of the value of a portfolio. The Manager, however, will ensure that the use of derivatives does not materially alter the overall risk profile of the strategy.
As a portion of the strategy may be exposed to less developed countries, you should be prepared to accept large fluctuations in value.
All data as at 31 March 2021, unless otherwise stated.
This marketing material is not intended as a recommendation to invest in any particular asset class, security or strategy. Regulatory requirements that require impartiality of investment/investment strategy recommendations are therefore not applicable nor are any prohibitions to trade before publication.
The information provided is for illustrative purposes only, it should not be relied upon as recommendations to buy or sell securities.
Where individuals or the business have expressed opinions, they are based on current market conditions, they may differ from those of other investment professionals and are subject to change without notice.
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