Markets and Economy Rising Treasury yields: Recalibration, not rupture
Higher Treasury yields may feel like the “big one,” but markets haven't shown broad signs of stress, suggesting they’re recalibrating, not breaking.
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
Higher Treasury yields may feel like the “big one,” but markets haven't shown broad signs of stress, suggesting they’re recalibrating, not breaking.
Markets can appear to ignore scary headlines without behaving irrationally, and disruption can still be consistent with resilience, adaptation, and renewal.
Why have markets moved higher despite ongoing risks? Government spending, strong corporate earnings, and signs of economic resilience have helped.
Despite the uncertainty surrounding the Iran war, the S&P 500 Index rose 10.49% in April. Learn what it may mean for market returns over the long run.
In his testimony to Congress, Kevin Warsh, Fed Chair nominee, emphasized the importance of its independence and appeared open to a more nuanced interpretation of inflation.
As the conflict in the Middle East continues to evolve, remember the important distinction between markets that are forward-looking and probabilistic rather than reactive and emotional.
Many assumed that if the Middle East conflict lasted more than a few weeks, it would be meaningfully negative for stocks. But markets appear to have absorbed the shock.
Major stock markets have corrected. But our preferred indicators suggest markets may still have work to do before a durable bottom is formed.
Periods of uncertainty, like the current Middle East conflict, have the potential to produce sharp rebounds that investors may not want to miss.
Explore our investment insights on market movements and structural changes.
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