Investment Outlook 2026 Annual Investment Outlook: Resilience and rebalancing
We believe global equities may continue to rise in the new year, and we expect new opportunities to be unlocked as market leadership evolves.
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
We believe global equities may continue to rise in the new year, and we expect new opportunities to be unlocked as market leadership evolves.
The downturn was concentrated in mega-cap growth stocks, even though many had strong earnings. We see it as skepticism about lofty valuations.
Today’s artificial intelligence trade isn’t a bubble yet, in our view, but the best potential opportunities in stocks may be outside of mega-caps.
A US-China trade truce provides temporary relief for global supply chains, while the Federal Reserve asserts its independence.
While the one-off inflation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed a 3% rise over the past year, we still expect rate cuts to continue.
News of defaults and stress from certain US regional banks sparked fears of a credit crisis, but they appear to be isolated events.
Trump threatened new tariffs on China, Japan’s election hit a hurdle, and UK regulators made it easier for people to invest in cryptocurrency ETFs.
The US government shut down, while governments in Europe and Japan plan to increase spending, which may help support stocks.
The market environment is challenging, but growth and earnings data remained resilient. We expect markets to resume their climb of the “wall of worry.”
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