Markets and Economy Four key market signals to watch
Geopolitical risks have risen, but bond spreads, economic and inflation data, and the US dollar haven’t signaled any major stock market issues.
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
Geopolitical risks have risen, but bond spreads, economic and inflation data, and the US dollar haven’t signaled any major stock market issues.
The calendar flipped to a new year, but macro and market trends look largely the same: Resilience in the US economy, geopolitical shifts, and tariff talk.
The potential use of the justice system against a sitting Federal Reserve Chair represents a line that markets have not previously had to price.
A rise in Venezuelan oil production could pressure oil prices in a few years. In the meantime, we expect an accelerating global economy to boost demand for oil and support prices.
For investors looking to diversify their mega-cap technology exposure, improving growth and falling interest rates may be good reasons.
A rate cut, which markets are pricing in despite Fed member differences, and an expected improving economy in 2026, could support stocks.
We believe global equities may continue to rise in the new year, and we expect new opportunities to be unlocked as market leadership evolves.
The downturn was concentrated in mega-cap growth stocks, even though many had strong earnings. We see it as skepticism about lofty valuations.
Today’s artificial intelligence trade isn’t a bubble yet, in our view, but the best potential opportunities in stocks may be outside of mega-caps.
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