Markets and Economy Discipline matters when markets are uncertain
Periods of uncertainty, like the current Middle East conflict, have the potential to produce sharp rebounds that investors may not want to miss.
April 1, 2026
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Markets and economy
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
Markets and Economy Economic and market signals stay steady despite oil shocks
Our preferred economic and market indicators have become more challenged, but they aren’t flashing clear warning signs yet.
March 16, 2026
Markets and Economy Keeping long-term perspective as the Iran conflict continues
It’s unknown how long the conflict will last, but oil and other commodity exposure may help hedge the risk of a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure.
March 9, 2026
Markets and Economy Narratives and facts support non-US stock markets
Markets are influenced by short‑term narratives and longer-term fundamentals. Emerging markets, Japan, and Europe have experienced improvements in both.
March 3, 2026
Markets and Economy US-Israel strikes on Iran: What investors need to know
Following the US-Israel strikes on Iran, we offer four possible scenarios for what we could face in the coming weeks and explore the possible reaction of various asset classes.
March 3, 2026
Markets and Economy Markets take Supreme Court tariff ruling, US-Iran tensions in stride
Markets largely expected last week’s tariff decision and the flare-up in US-Iran tensions, while new US economic data was weaker than anticipated.
February 23, 2026
Markets and Economy ‘Heads I win, tails I win’ market environment
On one side, weaker growth makes Fed easing more likely. On the other side, stronger growth supports an intact business cycle. Either can be supportive of markets if inflation stays contained.
February 17, 2026
Markets and Economy Finding silver linings in the market selloff
Despite last week’s selloff in software stocks and other momentum-driven areas, we believe the fundamental backdrop remains supportive.
February 9, 2026
Markets and Economy Greater clarity on the main risks to the market
We got some clarity on the two big risks we outlined in our 2026 investment outlook: Federal Reserve independence and an AI bubble.
February 2, 2026
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