Global Fixed Income Strategy Monthly Report | July 2025

Get an analysis of important drivers of global fixed income markets, including macroeconomic trends, interest rates, currencies, and credit, in our monthly global strategy report.
In our July report:
- Global macro strategy
Get the macro conclusions from Invesco Fixed Income’s June Global Investors’ Summit, where investors discussed macroeconomic trends in the US, Europe, China, and emerging markets. - Interest rate outlook
US: We’re neutral US interest rates and expect yields to remain range bound, as conflicting signals from growth and inflation balance each other out.
Europe: We’re neutral European interest rates, as the ECB has normalized interest rates in line with policymaker estimates of the eurozone’s neutral rate. - Currency outlook
US: We’re underweight the US dollar as reduced confidence in US relative growth outperformance and institutional stability could dampen inflows relative to other regions.
Europe: We’re overweight the euro, as we expect eurozone fixed income and equity assets to continue to garner inflows. - Global credit strategy
IFI credit investors share where they see opportunities across US and European investment grade, European high yield, and emerging markets.
Catch up on the last few editions:
FAQs
Whether you’re looking for income, diversification, capital preservation or total returns, our global fixed income teams have the strategies, the scale and the flexibility needed to match your objectives as markets evolve.
We have more than 200 fixed income specialists who invest across regions, investment styles and capital structures. Their expertise spans the entire fixed income spectrum, covering credit, rates and currencies.
- $460 billion in fixed income assets under management
- 18 years investing in fixed income markets
Source: Invesco as of September 30, 2024.
Fixed income investments can offer several important benefits to investors:
- Diversification: Adding fixed income securities to a portfolio can help diversify it and reduce its overall risk, as bonds typically behave differently to other investment instruments like equities.
- Risk reduction: Fixed income investments are deemed less risky than stocks, as the issuer is contractually obliged to meet the income payments and repay the principal sum on the redemption date. In the event of bankruptcy, fixed income instruments also sit higher up the capital structure than equities. This means that the issuer will meet its debt obligations before looking after its shareholders.
- Liquidity: Many fixed income securities are highly liquid and can be easily bought and sold in the market.
While fixed income securities are deemed less risky than equities, there are still some key things to look out for:
- Interest rate risk: When interest rates go up, bond prices go down. This is because, in the new higher rate environment, new bonds will be issued on more attractive terms. As such, investors looking to sell their existing bonds will need to do so at a discount in order to compete.
- Inflation risk: When investors buy a bond, they commit to tying their money up for a set period of time. If inflation is high or rises during the lifetime of the loan, its value will be eroded and their money will have less purchasing power when it is repaid on the redemption date. Inflation also erodes the purchasing power of the income earned.
- Credit risk: When you invest in a business or government, there is always a risk that they will go bankrupt and fail to repay the loan. Furthermore, if they run into difficulties, they may struggle to meet interest payments and default on their obligations. Fixed income investors should carry out thorough credit analysis before buying a bond to make sure the issuer is financially sound.
- Market risk: If an investor is unable to hold a bond until maturity and needs to sell it on the secondary market, price fluctuations resulting from the overall performance of financial markets could lead to losses.
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