Fixed Income

Global Fixed Income Strategy Monthly Report | October 2025

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Global Fixed Income Strategy Monthly Report
Get an analysis of important drivers of global fixed income markets, including macroeconomic trends, interest rates, currencies, and credit, in our monthly global strategy report.

In our October report:

Global macro strategy
The US administration may soon declare a national housing emergency. We examine the case for an emergency, potential government policy changes, and the market impact.

Interest rate outlook
US: We’re neutral on US rates and believe concerns about the US budget will keep the yield curve steep.

Europe: We’re neutral on European rates. We believe the European Central Bank (ECB) has reached its neutral rate and we expect it to remain steady unless external shocks require further action.

Currency outlook
US: We’re underweight the US dollar, based on a dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) and slower growth outlook.

Europe: We’re overweight the euro on expected US dollar weakness and expected positive 2026 European economic performance.

Global credit strategy
The number of corporate breakups in the US is rising.  What could that mean for bondholders?

The bottom line: Emerging market debt
Get insight on the US dollar’s recent weakening trend and why it might bode well for emerging market (EM) debt performance from Daniel Phillips, Senior Emerging Market Strategist.

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FAQs

Whether you’re looking for income, diversification, capital preservation or total returns, our global fixed income teams have the strategies, the scale and the flexibility needed to match your objectives as markets evolve.

We have more than 200 fixed income specialists who invest across regions, investment styles and capital structures. Their expertise spans the entire fixed income spectrum, covering credit, rates and currencies.

  • $518 billion in fixed income assets under management
  • 18 years investing in fixed income markets

Source: Invesco as of June 30, 2025.

Fixed income investments can offer several important benefits to investors:

  • Diversification: Adding fixed income securities to a portfolio can help diversify it and reduce its overall risk, as bonds typically behave differently to other investment instruments like equities.
  • Risk reduction: Fixed income investments are deemed less risky than stocks, as the issuer is contractually obliged to meet the income payments and repay the principal sum on the redemption date. In the event of bankruptcy, fixed income instruments also sit higher up the capital structure than equities. This means that the issuer will meet its debt obligations before looking after its shareholders.    
  • Liquidity: Many fixed income securities are highly liquid and can be easily bought and sold in the market.

While fixed income securities are deemed less risky than equities, there are still some key things to look out for:

  • Interest rate risk: When interest rates go up, bond prices go down. This is because, in the new higher rate environment, new bonds will be issued on more attractive terms. As such, investors looking to sell their existing bonds will need to do so at a discount in order to compete.
  • Inflation risk: When investors buy a bond, they commit to tying their money up for a set period of time. If inflation is high or rises during the lifetime of the loan, its value will be eroded and their money will have less purchasing power when it is repaid on the redemption date. Inflation also erodes the purchasing power of the income earned.
  • Credit risk: When you invest in a business or government, there is always a risk that they will go bankrupt and fail to repay the loan. Furthermore, if they run into difficulties, they may struggle to meet interest payments and default on their obligations. Fixed income investors should carry out thorough credit analysis before buying a bond to make sure the issuer is financially sound.
  • Market risk: If an investor is unable to hold a bond until maturity and needs to sell it on the secondary market, price fluctuations resulting from the overall performance of financial markets could lead to losses.

  • The opinions expressed are based on current market conditions and are subject to change.

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