Markets and Economy New year, same story: Geopolitics, tariffs, and resilience
The calendar flipped to a new year, but macro and market trends look largely the same: Resilience in the US economy, geopolitical shifts, and tariff talk.
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
The calendar flipped to a new year, but macro and market trends look largely the same: Resilience in the US economy, geopolitical shifts, and tariff talk.
The US central bank, known as the Federal Reserve System, uses interest rates and other tools to keep prices stable and employment strong.
January's stock performance is thought to forecast performance for the year, but the month's predictive power may be overstated.
The potential use of the justice system against a sitting Federal Reserve Chair represents a line that markets have not previously had to price.
Global unrest can tempt investors to change investment plans, but long-term market growth has continued throughout history despite wars.
The steepest yield curve in years may create compelling opportunities. For those able to extend duration, the long end of the muni market offers some of the most attractive yields seen in more than a decade.
A rise in Venezuelan oil production could pressure oil prices in a few years. In the meantime, we expect an accelerating global economy to boost demand for oil and support prices.
In 2025, clear storylines on the Federal Reserve, AI stocks, and rates captivated us. But the numbers don’t always match the narratives.
For investors looking to diversify their mega-cap technology exposure, improving growth and falling interest rates may be good reasons.
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