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While market participants aggressively priced in optimism for a potential resolution to the US–Iran conflict, uncertainty surrounding negotiations persists, and the economic ramifications of a significant disruption to the global energy supply aren’t clear. As a result, we remain in a slowdown regime. Our Global Tactical Asset Allocation Model1 remains moderately overweight stocks relative to fixed income, with a focus on defensive factors and sectors.
See what our macro regime framework is telling us — and what we’re doing in response — in our May 2026 Tactical Asset Allocation update.
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This does not constitute a recommendation of any investment strategy or product for a particular investor. Investors should consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
All investing involves risk, including the risk of loss.
The opinions referenced above are those of the author as of May 6, 2026. These comments should not be construed as recommendations but as an illustration of broader themes. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results. They involve risks, uncertainties, and assumptions; there can be no assurance that actual results will not differ materially from expectations.
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