Global Applied philosophy: Strategist from East of the Elbe - Q1 2026
The total returns on assets in Central and Eastern EU member countries (CEE11) have been strong within equities and subdued for government bonds in the last three months.
Capital market insights and outlooks from across our global investment, strategy and solutions teams.
We believe the market can continue to rise in the new year, and we expect new opportunities to be unlocked as market leadership evolves.
On the positive side, we think the global economy could accelerate (despite a slowing US economy) and that the Fed is about to embark on rapid easing.
The total returns on assets in Central and Eastern EU member countries (CEE11) have been strong within equities and subdued for government bonds in the last three months.
The calendar flipped to a new year, but macro and market trends look largely the same: Resilience in the US economy, geopolitical shifts, and tariff talk.
Aristotle said that “probable impossibilities are to be preferred to improbable possibilities”, meaning that we find it easier to believe in interesting impossibilities (B52s on the moon, say) than in unlikely possibilities.
The potential use of the justice system against a sitting Federal Reserve Chair represents a line that markets have not previously had to price.
Paul Jackson in Invesco’s GMS Office shares his quarterly outlook on the currency markets. Find out more.
A rise in Venezuelan oil production could pressure oil prices in a few years. In the meantime, we expect an accelerating global economy to boost demand for oil and support prices.
China’s trade surplus reached a record USD 1.2 trillion in 2025, driven by export growth, a competitive RMB, and shifting global trade dynamics.
China met its 5% GDP growth target in 2025, led by exports and manufacturing. AI investment and policy support could lift growth and markets in 2026.
Japan’s 10-year government bond yield climbs to 1.95%, its highest since 2007, as markets anticipate a BOJ rate hike in December amid weak GDP data and stimulus plans.
Discover how China’s affordable, accessible AI strategy, powered by open-source innovation and strong policy support, is driving global adoption and reshaping industries.
Discover why Japanese bond yields are climbing and the yen is weakening, driven by stimulus plans, fiscal concerns, and shifting market dynamics.
India continues to demonstrate strong and resilient economic momentum, supported by a series of positive developments that reinforce its long-term growth story, particularly driven by domestic strength.
After nearly two decades of relative underperformance, Europe is re-entering into the spotlight. With still-reasonable valuations, a strengthening euro, and a decisive shift toward proactive fiscal and defense policies, the investment case for European assets is more compelling than it has been in years.
European equities could warrant greater attention with secular and structural trends appearing to take shape. Find out more.
With the EU parliamentary results showing a rise in right-wing parties, French President Emmanuel Macron called for snap elections in France for its lower house of parliament.
Explore the investment implications of recent US-Venezuela geopolitical developments. Learn how these events impact oil markets, precious metals, fixed income, and Asian assets, with insights from David Chao, Global Market Strategist.
This is a guide to the Section 899 tax proposals and its potential implications for foreign investors and businesses investing in certain US assets. Find out more.
2024 is an election year in the US, and ritual obliges that we offer our views on the global economy and global financial markets based on the potential outcomes.
Presidential elections haven't historically affected the stock market over the long term, so investors probably don't need to worry about November.
Voters, party leaders, and down-ballot candidates have had to quickly shift gears from a Trump-Biden rematch to a Trump-Harris showdown in the 2024 presidential election.
Ever since the first presidential debate, markets had been convinced of a Trump victory in the race for the Oval Office. However, tables have turned after Kamala Harris emerged as the expected Democratic presidential nominee and substantially narrowed the polls.
Expert voices from within Invesco and partnering affiliates share thier views on trends, and current and upcoming investment opportunities.
Gain investment clarity in Asia Pacific through our research, specialized insights, and thought leadership.