Alternatives Q3 Alternative Opportunities report

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roads crossing over each other

While fundamentals across private markets remain generally resilient, tightening credit spreads and elevated valuations in some growth-oriented segments have tempered our outlook. We remain neutral across most private market exposures, while continuing to favor real assets and hedged strategies. Our experts highlight opportunities in alternative credit, selective private equity segments, income-oriented real assets, and hedge fund strategies that may benefit from elevated rates and market volatility. (Read the complete Alternative Opportunities Q3 insights)

Private credit: Neutral as credit spreads tighten

We’ve reduced our modest overweight in private credit to neutral as spreads have tightened across much of the market. Despite this, private credit remains an important funding source for businesses and real assets and continues to offer potential illiquidity and complexity premiums. Alternative credit, particularly venture debt, is our favored strategy within the asset class.

Q3 private credit summary

Asset class

Overall

Valuations

Fundamentals

Secular trend

Direct lending

Neutral

Neutral

Neutral

Attractive

Real asset credit Neutral Neutral Neutral Attractive
Alternative credit Neutral Neutral Neutral Attractive

Private equity (PE): Neutral as relative value improves

We’ve upgraded private equity to neutral as free cash flow yields have improved relative to public equities and financing spreads remain supportive. We continue to favor growth and venture strategies, particularly early-stage opportunities where valuations appear more attractive. We also see continued interest in secondaries, although discounts have moderated from prior levels.

Q3 private equity summary

Asset class

Overall

Valuations

Fundamentals

Secular trend

Private equity

Neutral

Neutral

Neutral

Neutral

Real assets: Slight overweight supported by valuations and secular tailwinds

We remain slightly overweight real assets, including both real estate and infrastructure. In real estate, we favor defensive, income-oriented sectors and see opportunities driven by selective valuation dislocations. Infrastructure continues to benefit from strong fundamentals and long-term secular themes, particularly across digital infrastructure, power generation, and energy-related investments.

Q3 real assets summary

 

Overall

Valuations

Fundamentals

Secular trend

Real estate

Overweight

Attractive

Neutral

Neutral

Infrastructure

Overweight

Unattractive

Attractive

Attractive

Hedge funds: Slight overweight amid elevated rates and volatility

We continue to view hedge funds favorably, particularly strategies with lower sensitivity to broader market movements. Elevated interest rates, attractive arbitrage spreads, and the potential for continued market volatility support our outlook. We still view hedge funds as attractive, but we may moderate that when capital markets reopen and outlook for stock markets improves.

Q3 hedge funds summary

Asset class

Overall

Valuations

Fundamentals

Secular trend

Event-driven and arbitrage

Overweight

Neutral

Neutral

Attractive

Systematic trend

Overweight

Neutral

Neutral

Attractive

(Read the complete Q3 Alternative Opportunities report)

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