Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
The Middle East dominated the news, but beyond oil and gas, most markets haven’t yet reacted heavily. Central banks remain in a wait-and-see mode.
A recession is a meaningful and lasting decline in economic activity that could include lower GDP, employment, and spending.
Geopolitical uncertainty immediately triggered a flight to "safe haven” assets, but the US dollar was largely unaffected.
Global unrest can tempt investors to change investment plans, but long-term market growth has continued throughout history despite wars.
The US central bank, known as the Federal Reserve System, uses interest rates and other tools to keep prices stable and employment strong.
While policy and economic uncertainty are high, we are confident in our base case that non-US assets are increasingly attractive.
As tariffs were announced, rescinded, invalidated, and reinstated, the US financial markets and economy have shown remarkable resilience.
The federal government borrows money to pay its bills, and those loans get added to the national debt until they're paid off.
While the recent US Court of International Trade ruling may have chipped away at President Trump’s negotiating hand, we don’t believe it reduces uncertainty related to tariff developments.
A selection of articles from our experts on the markets, economy, and investments.
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