Markets and Economy Above the Noise: Investor angst and market endurance
Day-to-day angst can overshadow the markets. Here’s a bigger-picture take on recent headlines like the software correction, US-Iran conflict, and more.
Fresh perspectives on economic trends and events impacting the global markets.
Day-to-day angst can overshadow the markets. Here’s a bigger-picture take on recent headlines like the software correction, US-Iran conflict, and more.
Markets are influenced by short‑term narratives and longer-term fundamentals. Emerging markets, Japan, and Europe have experienced improvements in both.
Following the US-Israel strikes on Iran, we offer four possible scenarios for what we could face in the coming weeks and explore the possible reaction of various asset classes.
Global unrest can tempt investors to change investment plans, but long-term market growth has continued throughout history despite wars.
Markets largely expected last week’s tariff decision and the flare-up in US-Iran tensions, while new US economic data was weaker than anticipated.
The US Supreme Court struck down IEEPA tariffs, but alternative statutes may mean tariffs remain, although the market impact appears limited.
On one side, weaker growth makes Fed easing more likely. On the other side, stronger growth supports an intact business cycle. Either can be supportive of markets if inflation stays contained.
Zack Kass, former OpenAI executive, joined the Greater Possibilities podcast to discuss the state of artificial intelligence and what the future may hold.
Despite last week’s selloff in software stocks and other momentum-driven areas, we believe the fundamental backdrop remains supportive.
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